Canada 28 Stake Progression Simulator (JND28 / PC28) — simulate 8 classic progression strategies (Martingale / Anti-Martingale / Fibonacci / D'Alembert / Labouchere / 1-3-2-6 / Kelly / Flat) to support risk assessment and stop-loss setup.
What is a progression calculator?
A progression calculator is not a prediction tool — it is a risk-assessment tool.
Enter your simulation parameters (base stake / multiplier / rounds / stop-loss) and the system simulates the stake, cumulative input and net profit of every round across 8 classic progression strategies, so yousee the worst-case loss before you bet.
Core warning (must read)
Progression strategies essentially mean risking more capital for a smaller edge; no progression strategy can beat the house edge in theory. This calculator is for education and risk assessment only — it is not a guaranteed-win tool and is not financial advice.
- Progression ≠ sure win — any strategy can lose until your capital is gone
- Stop-loss > everything — setting a stop-loss matters far more than which strategy you pick
- Money management > strategy — a single stake should never exceed 1-2% of your capital
The 8 progression strategies
① Martingale: double the next stake after a loss, reset after a win
The most classic and most dangerous — 10 losses in a row needs 1024× your base
② Anti-Martingale: double after a win, reset after a loss
Rides the trend with small drawdown, but needs long winning streaks
③ Fibonacci: step up one on a loss, step back two on a win
Milder than the doubling approach, but recovers slowly
④ D'Alembert: +1 on a loss, -1 on a win
The mildest progression, suited to long-term small wins and losses
⑤ Labouchere: custom sequence, (first + last) × base
Completing one cycle hits the profit target, but pen-and-paper tracking is complex
⑥ 1-3-2-6: fixed multiplier cycle
Four wins complete a cycle; any loss restarts from the beginning
⑦ Kelly: f = (p·b − (1−p)) / b
The theoretically optimal stake fraction, but needs an accurate win-rate estimate
⑧ Flat: a fixed amount per bet
The simplest and steadiest strategy, suited to long-term play
How to read this page
① Parameter form — enter your simulation plan
Base stake / trial count / rounds / multiplier / stake limits / target profit / stop-loss / win rate. The table below updates automatically once filled.
② Preset buttons — apply three tiers instantly
Conservative / Balanced / Aggressive each map to a typical parameter set
③ Strategy switch — compare 8 strategies side by side
Click to switch; the table re-simulates with the selected strategy
④ Output table — stake / cumulative / net profit per round
Red net profit = a losing round, green = a winning round. Special marks: "Target profit reached, stop" / "Stop-loss triggered"
Key terms
- Base stake: the base stake amount each round
- Trial count: how many trials per draw (28 draws, each counts as one)
- Rounds: the number of consecutive losing rounds simulated (worst case)
- Multiplier (incl. stake): the multiple returned on a hit (incl. stake), e.g. multiplier 2 = lose 1 / gain 1
- Per-draw amount: base stake × trial count, the total input per draw
- Target profit: when cumulative net profit ≥ this value, later rounds stop simulating (verified in this calculator)
- Stop-loss: when cumulative loss ≥ this value, later rounds stop simulating (verified in this calculator)
- Win rate (%): required input for Kelly; other strategies do not use it
All calculations run locally from the parameters you enter — no API calls, no data uploaded. Results are for risk assessment only and are not financial advice.
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